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Predators at Blues
NHL

Nashville Predators at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
0
St. Louis Blues
▸2
FinalTV FS-MW, FS-TN·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Nashville Predators 2-0. The Blues scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Bozak's goal at 12:35 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 54% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were NSH 19, STL 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 42 of 43 (.977), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Bozak (1 G), 2. Jordan Binnington (19 saves, 1.000), 3. Juuse Saros (42 saves, .977).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    T. Bozak1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington19 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    J. Saros42 saves, .977

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0100405019
STLSTL01509220244

Scoring

2 goals

3rd period

  1. STL
    T. Bozak(10)
    V. Tarasenko (27), A. Pietrangelo (19)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +32 pts
    0-1
    12:35
  2. STL
    A. Pietrangelo(10)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.58win prob +1 pts
    0-2
    19:56

Penalties

NSH 18 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:08NSHNick Bonino · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Bozak2 min

2nd

  • 6:30STLTyler Bozak · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Ellis2 min
  • 10:57STLIvan Barbashev · Roughingdrawn by P.K. Subban2 min
  • 10:57NSHP.K. Subban · Roughingdrawn by Mackenzie MacEachern2 min

3rd

  • 8:08STLColton Parayko · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min
  • 10:29NSHRyan Johansen · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 18:56NSHP.K. Subban · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 19:56NSHRoman Josi · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalNSH goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Bozak, 3rd 12:35 — STL 54% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Pietrangelo · Goal · xG 0.58C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.27V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.16R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.14O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.12M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.12J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.12R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.11J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.11R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.09O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.09V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.09S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.08V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.08O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.07M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.07R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.06R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.06T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.06R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.06C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.05M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.05J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bozak · Goal · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.02T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 4.0 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsSTL
1.90 G
All situations
1 G4.0
1.30 G
Even strength
1 G3.0
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH26%74%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 3.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsSTL
19
Shots on goal
44
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
1/3
18
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
17
16
Blocked shots
10
6
Giveaways
8
14
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000030.130310—26:22
76P. SubbanD000-100.15014—22:50
14M. EkholmD000-110.02030—22:49
4R. EllisD000020.13250—22:23
9F. ForsbergL000020.36200—20:28
92R. JohansenC000-110.104025319:48
33V. ArvidssonL000-120.13010—18:06
8K. TurrisC000000.090004316:46
10C. SissonsC000000.000001715:46
17W. SimmondsR000020.17010—15:46
19C. JarnkrokC000-110.10000014:08
13N. BoninoC000000.110027012:40
7Y. WeberD000020.09210—12:28
23R. GrimaldiR000010.04200—12:09
11B. BoyleC000000.0150010011:18
52M. IrwinD000000.00100—10:46
89F. GaudreauC000020.141006709:56
55C. McLeodL000000.13510—08:45
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)43421.9773.39+2.3959:46

Season series

STL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).