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Blues at Predators
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
1
Nashville Predators
▸4
FinalTV FS-MW, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the St. Louis Blues 4-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Forsberg's goal at 13:22 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 52% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 4.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were STL 29, NSH 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Frederick Gaudreau (1 G), 2. Pekka Rinne (28 saves, .966), 3. Filip Forsberg (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Gaudreau1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    P. Rinne28 saves, .966
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL11009010129
NSHNSH17114213434

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    F. Gaudreau(1)
    A. Bitetto (3), Y. Weber (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:14
  2. STL
    R. Thomas(1)
    B. Schenn (7)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:39

2nd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(14)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.27win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    13:22

3rd period

  1. NSH
    A. Watson(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    7:53
  2. NSH
    R. Ellis(1)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.86win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    14:48

Penalties

STL 13 PIM·NSH 14 PIM

1st

  • 7:15NSHColton Sissons · Interferencedrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
  • 12:52NSHMattias Ekholm · Interferencedrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 14:19STLAlex Pietrangelo · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min

2nd

  • 8:24NSHAnthony Bitetto · Holding the stickdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
  • 8:24STLSammy Blais · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Bitetto2 min
  • 11:30NSHserved by K. Fiala · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:17STLJoel Edmundson · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Bitetto2 min

3rd

  • 13:46STLDavid Perron · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 13:46NSHRyan Hartman · Holding the stickdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 14:23NSHNick Bonino · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jake Allen2 min
  • 17:50STLZachary Sanford · Cross checkingdrawn by Filip Forsberg5 min
  • 18:57NSHCraig Smith · Trippingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSTL goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Filip Forsberg, 2nd 13:22 — NSH 52% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Ellis · Goal · xG 0.86F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.36F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.27F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.22K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.21K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.21K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.18F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.17K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.17F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.17K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.16F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.13F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.10C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.10C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.09R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.08F. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.07R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.07C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.07M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.07R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.06K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.06C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.05R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.05K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.05M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.02R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.02F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01A. Watson · Goal · xG 0.01M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.01A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.01A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH4 G · 4.8 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsNSH
2.41 G
All situations
3 G4.8
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G3.4
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL27%73%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 3.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsNSH
29
Shots on goal
34
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/4
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
14
16
Hits
18
9
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000-200.09310—24:48
90R. O'ReillyC000-120.102005322:29
27A. PietrangeloD000-120.13222—22:17
91V. TarasenkoR000-160.44110—20:39
19J. BouwmeesterD000+120.03030—20:10
18R. ThomasC101-120.191002519:04
10B. SchennC011050.550005019:01
6J. EdmundsonD000-220.04112—18:35
21T. BozakC000040.381005318:22
29V. DunnD000010.03100—18:00
57D. PerronL000-100.08002—17:06
15R. FabbriC000000.000005015:07
12Z. SanfordL000-110.070055014:34
70O. SundqvistC000-220.210003310:00
43J. SchmaltzD000000.01110—09:21
49I. BarbashevL000-200.00000—08:25
9S. BlaisL000000.00302—07:49
86N. SoshnikovR000-200.00000—05:40
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)33303.9093.90+0.9058:23

Season series

STL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).