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Predators at Blues
NHL

Nashville Predators at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
St. Louis Blues
▸6
FinalTV FS-MW, FS-TN·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Nashville Predators 6-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Schenn's goal at 15:09 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were NSH 28, STL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 10 of 15 (.667), 2.9 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Brayden Schenn (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ivan Barbashev (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    I. Barbashev1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH13013112228
STLSTL31028116634

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    I. Barbashev(2)
    J. Schmaltz (2)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:26
  2. STL
    R. O'Reilly(11)
    S. Blais (1), A. Pietrangelo (5)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:09
  3. NSH
    N. Bonino(3)PPG
    M. Ekholm (11), R. Johansen (17)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    14:12
  4. STL
    B. Schenn(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    15:09

2nd period

  1. STL
    Z. Sanford(4)
    R. O'Reilly (14), V. Tarasenko (11)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    0:36
  2. STL
    R. Fabbri(2)
    R. Thomas (5)
    slapxG 0.19win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    11:53

3rd period

  1. STL
    A. Pietrangelo(4)
    B. Schenn (8), R. Thomas (6)
    tip-inxG 0.12
    1-6
    14:50
  2. NSH
    R. Hartman(6)
    K. Fiala (8), D. Hamhuis (2)
    wristxG 0.02
    2-6
    16:13

Penalties

NSH 18 PIM·STL 18 PIM

1st

  • 0:02STLPatrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Austin Watson5 min
  • 0:02NSHAustin Watson · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min
  • 1:15STLBrayden Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Hartman5 min
  • 1:15NSHRyan Hartman · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Schenn5 min
  • 14:03STLZachary Sanford · Hookingdrawn by Dan Hamhuis2 min

2nd

  • 7:28STLserved by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:43STLJay Bouwmeester · Holdingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min

3rd

  • 4:20NSHAustin Watson · High stickingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 4:20NSHYannick Weber · Trippingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 9:23NSHRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 13:44STLIvan Barbashev · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 13:44NSHKevin Fiala · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jake Allen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalNSH goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Schenn, 1st 15:09 — STL 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.26R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.21V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.20R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.19R. Fabbri · Goal · xG 0.19I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.18V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.16T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.16V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.15S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.15V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.15T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.15I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.14A. Pietrangelo · Goal · xG 0.12R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.12O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.09T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.08R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.07V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.07R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.07R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.06V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.05B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.05P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.05S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.05D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.04R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Sanford · Goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00
STL6 G · 3.9 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsSTL
1.72 G
All situations
6 G3.9
1.31 G
Even strength
6 G2.9
0.41 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH17%83%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.71 – 3.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsSTL
28
Shots on goal
34
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
0/3
18
Penalty minutes
18
24
Hits
29
13
Blocked shots
20
4
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-340.22000—25:12
4R. EllisD000-210.13230—25:02
14M. EkholmD011-130.16110—22:13
19C. JarnkrokC000-110.061003319:14
9F. ForsbergL000-210.05210—18:27
92R. JohansenC011-210.031005417:24
15C. SmithC000-120.14320017:22
5D. HamhuisD011-120.02010—16:53
10C. SissonsC000010.021005816:30
51A. WatsonL000030.22307—15:10
13N. BoninoC101-110.141105514:53
7Y. WeberD000-100.00202—14:37
22K. FialaL011-130.3021210014:28
2A. BitettoD000-200.00220—13:54
20M. SalomakiR000-310.02210—12:57
38R. HartmanR101-230.13007—12:09
89F. GaudreauC000-110.071005011:56
8K. TurrisC000000.000006703:39
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)15105.6672.10-2.9031:53
35P. Rinne19181.9471.79+0.7928:07

Season series

STL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).