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Golden Knights at Jets
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
Winnipeg Jets
1
FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·MTS Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Marchessault's goal at 8:45 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 78% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were VGK 28, WPG 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Marchessault (2 G), 2. Marc-Andre Fleury (30 saves, .968), 3. Kyle Connor (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Fleury30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK2130817328
WPGWPG01108112131

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    T. Tatar(1)
    S. Theodore (5), R. Carpenter (4)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:23
  2. VGK
    J. Marchessault(5)
    R. Smith (12)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    17:22

3rd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(3)PPG
    N. Ehlers (7), T. Myers (3)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    7:17
  2. VGK
    J. Marchessault(6)
    R. Smith (13), W. Karlsson (7)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    8:45

Penalties

VGK 8 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:40WPGBrandon Tanev · Trippingdrawn by Cody Eakin2 min
  • 2:19VGKserved by J. Marchessault · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:49VGKJonathan Marchessault · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 10:49WPGJacob Trouba · Roughingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min

2nd

  • 0:35WPGBlake Wheeler · Holdingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min
  • 19:57VGKBrayden McNabb · Trippingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min

3rd

  • 5:39VGKLuca Sbisa · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalVGK goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Marchessault, 3rd 8:45 — VGK 78% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.23J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.21M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.14B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.14P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.13K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.12B. Little · Missed · xG 0.11P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.09J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.09P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.08P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.08A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.07P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.05P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.05B. Little · On goal · xG 0.04J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.04P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.04B. Little · On goal · xG 0.04B. Little · On goal · xG 0.04T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.03M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.02T. Enstrom · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.02B. Little · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.00D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG1 G · 2.8 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsWPG
2.23 G
All situations
1 G2.8
1.83 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK40%60%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 2.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsWPG
28
Shots on goal
31
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
7
Hits
19
21
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88N. SchmidtD000+120.10020—23:17
71W. KarlssonC011+220.150007322:15
5D. EngellandD000+100.02020—21:17
19R. SmithR022+220.27030—21:01
3B. McNabbD000+110.09102—19:43
81J. MarchessaultR202+280.720026019:13
27S. TheodoreD011+100.00010—18:43
47L. SbisaD000+100.00022—17:48
6C. MillerD000+120.07010—17:31
89A. TuchR000000.101102514:51
18J. NealL000020.04210—14:32
56E. HaulaL000000.101202914:18
21C. EakinC000010.030008314:17
40R. CarpenterC011+130.240004013:47
41P. BellemareL000+100.060104411:31
92T. NosekL000030.13020—11:10
90T. TatarL101+120.12010—10:14
75R. ReavesR000000.00220—06:58
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)31301.9682.85+1.8560:00

Series

VGK leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).