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Golden Knights at Jets
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV NBC, CBC·MTS Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dustin Byfuglien's goal at 1:05 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 54% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 1.8 to 1.4; shots on goal were VGK 21, WPG 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 2.6 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Blake Wheeler (3 A), 2. Dustin Byfuglien (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler3 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    D. Byfuglien1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK161708221
WPGWPG31211004426

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:05
  2. WPG
    P. Laine(4)PPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    6:49
  3. WPG
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    7:35
  4. VGK
    wristxG 0.03win prob +10 pts
    1-3
    8:10

2nd period

  1. WPG
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    9:54
  2. VGK
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    15:55

Penalties

VGK 12 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:44VGKAlex Tuch · Hookingdrawn by Bryan Little2 min
  • 12:24VGKErik Haula · Slashingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min
  • 16:51WPGJacob Trouba · Interferencedrawn by Alex Tuch2 min

2nd

  • 5:19VGKColin Miller · Roughingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 5:19VGKOscar Lindberg · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 5:19WPGMathieu Perreault · Roughingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min
  • 5:19WPGBrandon Tanev · Roughingdrawn by Oscar Lindberg2 min
  • 9:10VGKBrayden McNabb · Hookingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 15:02WPGBen Chiarot · Trippingdrawn by James Neal2 min

3rd

  • 5:09VGKRyan Reaves · Chargingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalVGK goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Dustin Byfuglien, 1st 1:05 — WPG 54% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.17J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.13K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.10B. Little · On goal · xG 0.09N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.09B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.09B. Little · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.04T. Enstrom · Missed · xG 0.04P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.03J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.03D. Byfuglien · Goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03T. Enstrom · Missed · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.00D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.00J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 1.4 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsWPG
1.82 G
All situations
4 G1.4
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.0
0.61 G
Power play
2 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK59%41%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.77 – 1.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsWPG
21
Shots on goal
26
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/2
Power play
2/4
12
Penalty minutes
8
30
Hits
33
10
Blocked shots
22
11
Giveaways
14
1
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88N. SchmidtD000+130.18000—23:02
27S. TheodoreD011-210.11030—21:12
19R. SmithR011+150.23000—19:53
71W. KarlssonC101+120.360203119:22
6C. MillerD000000.00202—19:12
18J. NealL000-100.05400—19:06
56E. HaulaL000-100.182022018:39
5D. EngellandD000-210.08400—18:36
81J. MarchessaultR022+110.053005018:22
57D. PerronL000-100.08400—18:21
47L. SbisaD000020.02220—18:03
3B. McNabbD101+120.03022—16:58
89A. TuchR000010.110025013:38
40R. CarpenterC000-110.271005013:20
21C. EakinC000010.031105612:43
41P. BellemareL000-110.013006309:41
24O. LindbergL000000.0020210009:17
75R. ReavesR000-100.00202—07:25
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)26224.8461.37-2.6357:21

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).