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Jets at Golden Knights
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-2. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Reilly Smith's goal at 13:02 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were WPG 37, VGK 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.5 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Reilly Smith (1 G, 1 A), 2. Marc-Andre Fleury (35 saves, .946), 3. William Karlsson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    R. Smith1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Fleury35 saves, .946
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG010115112237
VGKVGK1911317329

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    W. Karlsson(6)PPG
    J. Marchessault (10), R. Smith (14)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    2:25

2nd period

  1. WPG
    P. Laine(5)PPG
    D. Byfuglien (11), B. Wheeler (18)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    9:29
  2. VGK
    T. Nosek(1)
    P. Bellemare (1), L. Sbisa (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    10:12

3rd period

  1. WPG
    T. Myers(4)
    J. Roslovic (3)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +27 pts
    2-2
    5:34
  2. VGK
    R. Smith(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +35 pts
    2-3
    13:02

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·VGK 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:55WPGTyler Myers · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Carpenter2 min
  • 13:32WPGMark Scheifele · Slashingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min

2nd

  • 2:51VGKWilliam Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 8:28VGKTomas Nosek · Trippingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 13:17VGKLuca Sbisa · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

3rd

  • 0:28VGKBrayden McNabb · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalWPG goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Reilly Smith, 3rd 13:02 — VGK 52% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.24E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.20W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.15W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.15T. Nosek · Goal · xG 0.14W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.14A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.13W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.12T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.11J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.11E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.10A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.10R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.07N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.07R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.03C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.02P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.01A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.01L. Sbisa · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01L. Sbisa · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 2.5 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsVGK
4.12 G
All situations
3 G2.5
2.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
1.71 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG73%27%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.96 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsVGK
37
Shots on goal
29
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
43
Hits
45
18
Blocked shots
25
16
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
24

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD011-130.13840—28:20
55M. ScheifeleC000051.101125322:58
26B. WheelerR011030.333006722:16
57T. MyersD101+120.06212—20:55
29P. LaineL101070.5751010020:26
25P. StastnyC000020.292005319:53
8J. TroubaD000-100.03110—19:08
44J. MorrisseyD000-220.19410—18:54
81K. ConnorL000000.04110—17:32
27N. EhlersL000030.32210—16:35
18B. LittleC000+120.371104416:34
85M. PerreaultC000+120.20300016:23
52J. RoslovicC011+110.07300012:01
39T. EnstromD000010.01000—11:51
7B. ChiarotD000+120.09130—11:49
9A. CoppC000-200.12410008:04
17A. LowryC000-210.122003307:55
13B. TanevL000-210.08020—07:27
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)29263.8972.49-0.5158:29

Series

VGK leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).