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Golden Knights at Jets
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV NBC, CBC·MTS Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Winnipeg Jets 2-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Reaves's goal at 13:21 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals were close — VGK 2.4, WPG 2.4; shots on goal were VGK 32, WPG 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Alex Tuch (1 G), 2. Ryan Reaves (1 G), 3. Josh Morrissey (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    A. Tuch1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    R. Reaves1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK1811509232
WPGWPG11301108132

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:11
  2. WPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    17:14

2nd period

  1. VGK
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    13:21

Penalties

VGK 8 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:43WPGDustin Byfuglien · Slashingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min
  • 12:47VGKColin Miller · Interferencedrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

2nd

  • 3:51WPGDmitry Kulikov · Elbowingdrawn by Ryan Carpenter2 min
  • 9:01VGKAlex Tuch · Trippingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
  • 16:01VGKTomas Nosek · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min

3rd

  • 0:45VGKJonathan Marchessault · Slashingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalVGK goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Reaves, 2nd 13:21 — VGK 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.19B. Little · Missed · xG 0.17K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.14D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.13K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.12J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.10B. Little · Missed · xG 0.09B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08B. Little · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.06M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.06J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.06P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.05M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.04P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.03D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.02J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.00M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG1 G · 2.4 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsWPG
2.42 G
All situations
1 G2.4
2.12 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK51%49%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 2.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsWPG
32
Shots on goal
32
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
18
9
Blocked shots
15
17
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88N. SchmidtD000-140.31110—23:55
5D. EngellandD000+110.00020—23:20
3B. McNabbD000-110.02210—23:12
19R. SmithR000-120.27000—20:19
71W. KarlssonC000-110.071003620:15
27S. TheodoreD000+120.09010—18:14
81J. MarchessaultR000-160.541023317:19
47L. SbisaD011+100.02020—16:28
40R. CarpenterC011+100.000006715:18
21C. EakinC000+120.013005515:13
18J. NealL000020.14100—14:39
56E. HaulaL000030.340004514:06
6C. MillerD000+100.00112—13:40
57D. PerronL000010.1010010013:22
89A. TuchR101+140.221025013:20
41P. BellemareL000+120.180106712:00
92T. NosekL011+100.01302—09:53
75R. ReavesR101+110.04200—07:30
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)32311.9692.35+1.3559:57

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).