Skip to content

Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV NBC, CBC·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Boston Bruins 3-1. The Bruins scored first; the Lightning answered. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 10:43 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 34% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.4 to 1.7; shots on goal were BOS 28, TBL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (27 saves, .964), 2. J.T. Miller (1 G), 3. Brayden Point (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    TBL
    J. Miller1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS1905014128
TBLTBL072718322

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    D. Krejci(3)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    19:12

2nd period

  1. TBL
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    10:43
  2. TBL
    J. Miller(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    14:00

3rd period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.51win prob +4 pts
    1-3
    18:31

Penalties

BOS 8 PIM·TBL 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:09BOSCharlie McAvoy · Cross checkingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 11:52BOSDavid Backes · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 12:04TBLVictor Hedman · Holdingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 12:04BOSBrad Marchand · Embellishmentdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
  • 17:02TBLDan Girardi · Interferencedrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min
  • 18:06TBLCedric Paquette · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

2nd

  • 13:31BOSPatrice Bergeron · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min

3rd

  • 15:42TBLRyan McDonagh · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalBOS goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, 2nd 10:43 — TBL 34% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Stralman · Goal · xG 0.51S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.19S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.16J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.14B. Point · On goal · xG 0.14C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.11B. Point · Missed · xG 0.09T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.09B. Point · Goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.06T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.05R. Callahan · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.04J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03C. Kunitz · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.02B. Coburn · Missed · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.00S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 2.4 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsTBL
1.71 G
All situations
2 G2.4
1.20 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS46%54%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 1.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsTBL
28
Shots on goal
22
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
29
Hits
37
12
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD011-120.05342—26:49
88D. PastrnakR000-180.47000—24:29
63B. MarchandL000-100.00102—23:46
33Z. CharaD000040.07510—23:41
37P. BergeronC011-130.362024222:57
48M. GrzelcykD000-100.00220—20:58
86K. MillerD000-100.01100—18:22
52S. KuralyC000020.172003316:14
46D. KrejciC101-220.080006015:52
61R. NashL000-210.02210—15:46
17R. DonatoC000-110.17100013:23
74J. DeBruskL000020.06000—13:16
44N. HoldenD000000.03100—12:26
54A. McQuaidD000000.02320—11:18
55N. AcciariC000000.00210010:54
20R. NashC000010.010005810:37
59T. SchallerL000020.18210—09:03
42D. BackesR000000.00202—06:53
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(L)21192.9051.90-0.1058:47

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).