Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Boston Bruins 3-1. The Bruins scored first; the Lightning answered. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 10:43 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 34% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.4 to 1.7; shots on goal were BOS 28, TBL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (27 saves, .964), 2. J.T. Miller (1 G), 3. Brayden Point (1 G).
Three stars
- ★A. Vasilevskiy27 saves, .964

- ★★J. Miller1 G

- ★★★B. Point1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-019:12
2nd period
1-110:43
1-214:00
3rd period
1-318:31
Penalties
1st
- 7:09
Charlie McAvoy · Cross checkingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
- 11:52
David Backes · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
- 12:04
Victor Hedman · Holdingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
- 12:04
Brad Marchand · Embellishmentdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
- 17:02
Dan Girardi · Interferencedrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min
- 18:06
Cedric Paquette · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
2nd
- 13:31
Patrice Bergeron · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
3rd
- 15:42
Ryan McDonagh · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brayden Point, 2nd 10:43 — 34% → 53%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.71 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.4
- 1.20 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.4
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.5
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 1.89
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 22
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 29
- Hits
- 37
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 8
- Giveaways
- 9
- 5
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Series
TBL leads 4-1
6@
2Final
2@
4Final
4@
1Final
4@
3OTFinal
1@
3this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















