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Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Boston Bruins 4-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Cirelli's goal at 16:43 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were TBL 37, BOS 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 33 of 36 (.917). Three stars: 1. Ondrej Palat (2 G), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (28 saves, .966), 3. Ryan McDonagh (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    O. Palat2 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy28 saves, .966
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    R. McDonagh1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL31901117437
BOSBOS1140807129

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:47
  2. TBL
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    3:19
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    14:12
  4. TBL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    16:43

3rd period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.55
    4-1
    19:18

Penalties

TBL 19 PIM·BOS 27 PIM

1st

  • 6:04BOSRiley Nash · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 10:39BOSCharlie McAvoy · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 13:43TBLAnton Stralman · Trippingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min

2nd

  • 11:58BOSTorey Krug · Holdingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 15:12BOSDavid Backes · Boardingdrawn by Dan Girardi2 min
  • 15:12TBLCedric Paquette · Fightingdrawn by David Backes5 min
  • 15:12TBLCedric Paquette · Misconductdrawn by David Backes10 min
  • 15:12BOSDavid Backes · Fightingdrawn by Cedric Paquette5 min
  • 15:12TBLCedric Paquette · Instigatordrawn by David Backes2 min
  • 15:57BOSBrad Marchand · Slashingdrawn by Anton Stralman2 min

3rd

  • 18:31BOSTorey Krug · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 19:18BOSBrad Marchand · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalTBL goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Cirelli, 1st 16:43 — TBL 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.14B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.12R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.12D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.09S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.09N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.09S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.08N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.08D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.07B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.07D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.07J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.06T. Wingels · On goal · xG 0.05N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.05C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.04N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.04C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.03P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.03B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.02D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.02D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.02R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.02P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.00A. McQuaid · On goal · xG 0.00R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS1 G · 2.0 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsBOS
3.73 G
All situations
1 G2.0
1.83 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
1.30 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL69%31%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.09 – 2.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsBOS
37
Shots on goal
29
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/5
Power play
1/1
19
Penalty minutes
27
26
Hits
36
19
Blocked shots
12
17
Giveaways
14
11
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD022+140.17120—26:18
6A. StralmanD011010.12302—24:00
27R. McDonaghD011+220.05150—23:56
21B. PointC000+240.44000021:17
18O. PalatL202+230.19210—20:28
9T. JohnsonC011+230.231206219:25
86N. KucherovR000040.74000—18:10
91S. StamkosC101020.604005617:38
10J. MillerC011020.28300016:51
5D. GirardiD011+310.04250—16:32
17A. KillornL000+100.21000—13:36
14C. KunitzL000000.00320—13:31
24R. CallahanR000000.00100—12:34
37Y. GourdeC011+120.1220010012:32
55B. CoburnD000010.01020—12:32
71A. CirelliC101+150.250001711:44
13C. PaquetteC000020.1230177910:02
98M. SergachevD000010.08000—08:25
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)29281.9662.03+1.0360:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).