Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Boston Bruins 4-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Cirelli's goal at 16:43 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were TBL 37, BOS 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 33 of 36 (.917). Three stars: 1. Ondrej Palat (2 G), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (28 saves, .966), 3. Ryan McDonagh (1 A).
Three stars
- ★O. Palat2 G

- ★★A. Vasilevskiy28 saves, .966

- ★★★R. McDonagh1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-01:47
2-03:19
2-114:12
3-116:43
3rd period
4-119:18
Penalties
1st
- 6:04
Riley Nash · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
- 10:39
Charlie McAvoy · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
- 13:43
Anton Stralman · Trippingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
2nd
- 11:58
Torey Krug · Holdingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
- 15:12
David Backes · Boardingdrawn by Dan Girardi2 min
- 15:12
Cedric Paquette · Fightingdrawn by David Backes5 min
- 15:12
Cedric Paquette · Misconductdrawn by David Backes10 min
- 15:12
David Backes · Fightingdrawn by Cedric Paquette5 min
- 15:12
Cedric Paquette · Instigatordrawn by David Backes2 min
- 15:57
Brad Marchand · Slashingdrawn by Anton Stralman2 min
3rd
- 18:31
Torey Krug · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
- 19:18
Brad Marchand · Misconduct10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Anthony Cirelli, 1st 16:43 — 61% → 77%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.73 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.0
- 1.83 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.6
- 1.30 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.09 – 2.02
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 37
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 1/5
- Power play
- 1/1
- 19
- Penalty minutes
- 27
- 26
- Hits
- 36
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 17
- Giveaways
- 14
- 11
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Series
TBL leads 4-1
6@
2Final
2@
4Final
4@
1this game
4@
3OTFinal
1@
3Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















