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Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Boston Bruins 4-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Johnson's goal at 10:14 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.6 to 1.6; shots on goal were BOS 20, TBL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 1.0 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Tyler Johnson (1 G), 2. Brayden Point (1 G, 3 A), 3. Ryan Callahan.

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    T. Johnson1 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    R. Callahan

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS180517220
TBLTBL11018213431

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    Y. Gourde(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    11:47
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:30

2nd period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    10:14

3rd period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    1-3
    14:08
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.01win prob +7 pts
    2-3
    15:58
  3. TBL
    wristxG 0.60win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    19:34

Penalties

BOS 14 PIM·TBL 12 PIM

1st

  • 5:30BOSDavid Backes · Roughingdrawn by Cedric Paquette2 min
  • 5:30TBLCedric Paquette · Roughingdrawn by David Backes2 min
  • 5:30BOSDavid Backes · Roughingdrawn by Cedric Paquette2 min
  • 10:00BOSTorey Krug · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 14:02TBLTyler Johnson · Roughingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 14:17TBLRyan McDonagh · Roughingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min

2nd

  • 10:31TBLVictor Hedman · Holdingdrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min

3rd

  • 3:18BOSKevan Miller · Boardingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 3:18BOSTorey Krug · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 3:18TBLAnton Stralman · Cross checkingdrawn by Kevan Miller2 min
  • 3:18TBLYanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min
  • 7:31BOSDavid Pastrnak · High stickingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
  • 7:31BOSDavid Pastrnak · High stickingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalBOS goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Johnson, 2nd 10:14 — TBL 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Point · Goal · xG 0.60J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.15N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.12B. Point · On goal · xG 0.12J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.11T. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.10J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.10T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.08B. Point · On goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.07A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.06C. Paquette · Missed · xG 0.06C. Kunitz · On goal · xG 0.05R. Callahan · On goal · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.05O. Palat · Goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.04T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.04T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.03C. Kunitz · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.02O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.02T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.02O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.02D. Girardi · Missed · xG 0.02B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.02T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kunitz · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.00B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL4 G · 2.6 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsTBL
1.62 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.02 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS42%58%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 1.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsTBL
20
Shots on goal
31
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/3
Power play
1/4
14
Penalty minutes
12
24
Hits
42
13
Blocked shots
8
13
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33Z. CharaD000+110.01040—25:33
73C. McAvoyD101010.15330—23:42
37P. BergeronC011-150.450004821:19
63B. MarchandL022-120.160002021:17
86K. MillerD000000.00412—20:43
88D. PastrnakR011-110.19104—19:16
47T. KrugD101-110.02104—18:57
46D. KrejciC000-120.110002016:44
61R. NashL000030.23010—16:01
20R. NashC000000.032106715:48
42D. BackesR000-120.063045014:27
74J. DeBruskL000010.07300—13:42
43D. HeinenL000000.09100—13:37
54A. McQuaidD000000.00210—13:30
48M. GrzelcykD000-100.00110—12:52
55N. AcciariC000000.00200010:01
59T. SchallerL000000.00100—08:45
52S. KuralyC000010.010104007:25
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(L)30273.9001.97-1.0358:34

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).