Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Boston Bruins 4-3 in overtime, Dan Girardi scoring at 3:18. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dan Girardi's goal at 3:18 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals were close — TBL 2.7, BOS 2.7; shots on goal were TBL 28, BOS 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Tuukka Rask stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dan Girardi (1 G), 2. Patrice Bergeron (2 G), 3. Tuukka Rask (24 saves, .857).
Three stars
- ★D. Girardi1 G

- ★★P. Bergeron2 G

- ★★★T. Rask24 saves, .857

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-04:36
2-09:53
2-115:28
2nd period
2-22:04
3rd period
2-36:36
3-312:56
Overtime
4-33:18
Penalties
1st
- 7:17
Rick Nash · Trippingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
- 8:58
Zdeno Chara · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 11:21
Yanni Gourde · Trippingdrawn by Matt Grzelcyk2 min
- 14:45
Steven Stamkos · Illegal check to headdrawn by Rick Nash2 min
2nd
- 0:43
Tyler Johnson · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
- 5:14
Rick Nash · Trippingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
3rd
- 5:34
Noel Acciari · Hookingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
- 7:15
Tyler Johnson · Slashingdrawn by Zdeno Chara2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Dan Girardi, OT 3:18 — 48% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.74 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.7
- 2.13 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.4
- 0.61 G
- Power play
- 2 G1.1
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 2.72
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 38%
- Faceoffs
- 62%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 2/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 33
- Hits
- 30
- 24
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 15
- Giveaways
- 13
- 8
- Takeaways
- 12
Box score
every player line
Series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















