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Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins

Final/OTTV NBCSN, CBC·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Boston Bruins 4-3 in overtime, Dan Girardi scoring at 3:18. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dan Girardi's goal at 3:18 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals were close — TBL 2.7, BOS 2.7; shots on goal were TBL 28, BOS 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Tuukka Rask stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dan Girardi (1 G), 2. Patrice Bergeron (2 G), 3. Tuukka Rask (24 saves, .857).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    D. Girardi1 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron2 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    T. Rask24 saves, .857

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TBLTBL2110411112428
BOSBOS191141702332

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.28win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:36
  2. TBL
    slapxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    9:53
  3. BOS
    slapxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    15:28

2nd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    2:04

3rd period

  1. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +30 pts
    2-3
    6:36
  2. TBL
    slapxG 0.09win prob +34 pts
    3-3
    12:56

Overtime

  1. TBL
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +52 pts
    4-3
    3:18

Penalties

TBL 8 PIM·BOS 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:17BOSRick Nash · Trippingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 8:58BOSZdeno Chara · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:21TBLYanni Gourde · Trippingdrawn by Matt Grzelcyk2 min
  • 14:45TBLSteven Stamkos · Illegal check to headdrawn by Rick Nash2 min

2nd

  • 0:43TBLTyler Johnson · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 5:14BOSRick Nash · Trippingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min

3rd

  • 5:34BOSNoel Acciari · Hookingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
  • 7:15TBLTyler Johnson · Slashingdrawn by Zdeno Chara2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalTBL goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Dan Girardi, OT 3:18 — TBL 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.18J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.17R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.14P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.14D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.13P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.12N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.12R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.12B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.10D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.08R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.08T. Schaller · On goal · xG 0.08D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.07B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.06P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.06D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.05D. Backes · Missed · xG 0.05R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.05D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.04R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.04R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.02R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.01D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.01D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gionta · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.00K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.00D. Backes · Missed · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 2.7 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsBOS
2.74 G
All situations
3 G2.7
2.13 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.61 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL50%50%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsBOS
28
Shots on goal
32
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/4
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
33
Hits
30
24
Blocked shots
19
15
Giveaways
13
8
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD011030.13120—26:01
6A. StralmanD000020.06110—24:25
27R. McDonaghD000+200.00230—23:58
5D. GirardiD101+210.09440—21:12
21B. PointC101+130.620202020:36
86N. KucherovR101050.29100—17:50
17A. KillornL011000.01210—17:26
91S. StamkosC112030.622024217:17
10J. MillerC011010.072002917:10
9T. JohnsonC000+140.160043816:19
18O. PalatL000+110.32140—15:45
24R. CallahanR000020.20420—14:57
37Y. GourdeC011+100.04002014:45
13C. PaquetteC000010.015305714:23
71A. CirelliC000+100.002103612:35
55B. CoburnD000000.01200—12:29
98M. SergachevD000+110.07100—12:08
14C. KunitzL000010.02310—11:44
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)32293.9062.74-0.2662:44

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).