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Predators at Avalanche
NHL

Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸5
Colorado Avalanche
0
FinalTV NBCSN, FS-TN·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Austin Watson's goal at 10:19 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.7 to 0.9; shots on goal were NSH 37, COL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Andrew Hammond stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Bonino (1 G, 2 A), 2. Colton Sissons (2 A), 3. Pekka Rinne (22 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    N. Bonino1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    C. Sissons2 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    P. Rinne22 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH214210113537
COLCOL070906022

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    M. Ekholm(1)
    C. Sissons (3), N. Bonino (2)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    7:02
  2. NSH
    A. Watson(4)
    C. Sissons (4), N. Bonino (3)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    10:19

2nd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    0:38
  2. NSH
    N. Bonino(2)
    C. Jarnkrok (1), R. Ellis (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +5 pts
    4-0
    8:26

3rd period

  1. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(2)
    P. Subban (3)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +1 pts
    5-0
    2:36

Penalties

NSH 4 PIM·COL 20 PIM

1st

  • 18:07COLGabriel Landeskog · Slashingdrawn by P.K. Subban2 min

2nd

  • 6:13COLNikita Zadorov · Interferencedrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 6:13COLSven Andrighetto · Cross checkingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 6:13NSHViktor Arvidsson · Embellishment2 min
  • 19:31NSHRyan Ellis · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 19:31COLNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Ellis2 min
  • 19:31COLNikita Zadorov · Misconductdrawn by Ryan Ellis10 min

3rd

  • 10:02COLMark Barberio · Interferencedrawn by Craig Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalNSH goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Austin Watson, 1st 10:19 — NSH 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.11T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.04P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.03M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.03B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.03G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barberio · On goal · xG 0.02S. Andrighetto · Missed · xG 0.02S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.01G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.01S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.00N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.00S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.00T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.00
COL0 G · 0.9 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCOL
2.75 G
All situations
0 G0.9
2.65 G
Even strength
0 G0.9
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH84%16%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 0.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCOL
37
Shots on goal
22
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/3
Power play
0/0
4
Penalty minutes
20
36
Hits
30
13
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76P. SubbanD011+330.13310—22:02
14M. EkholmD101+410.04010—21:50
59R. JosiD000+140.28210—21:36
4R. EllisD011+230.06012—21:14
10C. SissonsC022+210.072005717:11
92R. JohansenC000+220.112005016:41
15C. SmithC000030.16200016:19
9F. ForsbergL101+240.35020—16:09
25A. EmelinD000000.00310—16:01
8K. TurrisC000+120.080105015:31
13N. BoninoC123+320.091008515:31
33V. ArvidssonL101+220.23212—15:23
52M. IrwinD000010.03500—15:16
22K. FialaL000030.26300—14:56
51A. WatsonL101+220.27330—14:10
20M. SalomakiR000020.29310—13:43
12M. FisherC000010.055008313:28
19C. JarnkrokC011+110.250005010:59
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(W)222201.0000.87+0.8760:00

Series

NSH leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).