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Avalanche at Predators
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸2
Nashville Predators
1
FinalTV NBCSN, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Nashville Predators 2-1. The Predators scored first; the Avalanche answered. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sven Andrighetto's goal at 18:32 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 48% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were COL 27, NSH 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Andrew Hammond stopped 44 of 45 (.978), 2.5 goals saved above expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Sven Andrighetto (1 G), 2. Nick Bonino (1 G), 3. Pekka Rinne (25 saves, .926).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    S. Andrighetto1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    N. Bonino1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    P. Rinne25 saves, .926

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0808211227
NSHNSH011015119145

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. NSH
    N. Bonino(1)
    M. Ekholm (5), A. Watson (3)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +31 pts
    0-1
    10:18
  2. COL
    G. Landeskog(4)
    N. MacKinnon (3), M. Rantanen (4)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +37 pts
    1-1
    15:49
  3. COL
    S. Andrighetto(1)
    J. Compher (3), T. Barrie (4)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +45 pts
    2-1
    18:32

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:56NSHKevin Fiala · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 20:00COLJ.T. Compher · Holdingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min

2nd

  • 17:47COLNikita Zadorov · Slashingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min

3rd

  • 1:39NSHKevin Fiala · Holdingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min
  • 3:19COLserved by C. Wilson · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCOL goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Sven Andrighetto, 3rd 18:32 — COL 48% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.33C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.25K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.23K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.22R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.20F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.17R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.16K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.15N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.13C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.13M. Fisher · On goal · xG 0.10R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.09A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.09A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.09K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.09N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.09P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.08M. Fisher · Missed · xG 0.07R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.05P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.04C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Fisher · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01S. Hartnell · On goal · xG 0.00R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH1 G · 3.5 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsNSH
2.02 G
All situations
1 G3.5
1.92 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL26%74%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 3.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsNSH
27
Shots on goal
45
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
16
14
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
12P. NemethD000010.00540—24:30
16N. ZadorovD000+100.00412—22:59
49S. GirardD000-110.06020—22:21
44M. BarberioD000+140.07010—22:00
4T. BarrieD011+120.04030—20:32
92G. LandeskogL101030.270104419:09
29N. MacKinnonC011060.480003618:59
96M. RantanenR011010.08100—17:52
83M. NietoL000020.12110—17:44
34C. SoderbergC000000.070003817:22
14B. ComeauL000010.091005017:09
37J. CompherL011+100.000023312:56
10S. AndrighettoR101+130.53000—12:10
57G. BourqueL000+100.00200—11:59
17T. JostC000010.03100011:16
13A. KerfootC000000.090005710:54
22C. WilsonC000020.09210010:00
15D. SiemensD000000.00000—04:11
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Hammond(W)45441.9783.52+2.5259:57

Series

NSH leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).