Pirates at Orioles
Last play · Coby Mayo flies out to right fielder Nick Solak.
Win probability
Orioles0%
PIT 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 3 – 3 BAL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -165
Orioles favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Gorski homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Endy Rodríguez scores. (inning 6) — -29% Pirates
9Matt Gorski hits a grand slam (2) to left field. Tsung-Che Cheng scores. Endy Rodríguez scores. Alika Williams scores.10–5
8Emmanuel Rivera homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Jud Fabian scores.6–5
8Nick Solak singles on a line drive to left fielder Daz Cameron, deflected by shortstop Luis Vazquez. Endy Rodríguez scores. Alika Williams to 3rd.6–3
6Matt Gorski homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Endy Rodríguez scores.5–3
4Dylan Carlson out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Joshua Palacios. Emmanuel Rivera scores.3–3
3DJ Stewart homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.3–2
2Ramón Laureano singles on a line drive to center fielder Billy Cook. Jackson Holliday scores. Ramón Laureano to 2nd.2–2
1DJ Stewart doubles (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Ramón Laureano. Henry Davis scores. Nick Yorke scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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