Blue Jays at Orioles
TOR8–
BAL11Last play · Riley Tirotta grounds out, shortstop Luis Vázquez to first baseman Samuel Basallo.
Win probability
Orioles100%
TOR 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 4 – 7 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -220
Orioles favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ramón Urías homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Ramón Laureano scores. (inning 2) — +16% Orioles
9Charles McAdoo homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Robert Brooks scores. Josh Kasevich scores.8–11
8Luis Vázquez singles on a ground ball to second baseman Eddinson Paulino. Livan Soto scores. Fielding error by second baseman Eddinson Paulino.5–11
8Jacob Wetzel reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Samuel Basallo. Rainer Nunez scores. Charles McAdoo to 3rd. Riley Tirotta to 2nd.5–10
7Samuel Basallo homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.4–10
6Luis Vázquez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jacob Wetzel. Jud Fabian scores. Jeremiah Jackson to 3rd.4–9
6Jeremiah Jackson singles on a ground ball to first baseman Riley Tirotta, deflected by pitcher Johnathan Lavallee. Daz Cameron scores. Jud Fabian to 3rd.4–8
4Myles Straw singles on a fly ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Leo Jiménez scores. Orelvis Martinez scores.4–7
4Orelvis Martinez singles on a fly ball to right fielder Ramón Laureano. Davis Schneider scores. Nathan Lukes scores. Leo Jiménez to 3rd. Orelvis Martinez to 2nd.2–7
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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