Pirates at Orioles
Last play · Jordyn Adams flies out to right fielder Bryce Johnson.
Win probability
Orioles0%
PIT 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 2 – 2 BAL
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.6% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -130
Orioles favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Konnor Griffin homers (1) on a line drive to right field. (inning 9) — -45% Pirates
9Enmanuel Valdez homers (1) on a line drive to right field. Matt Gorski scores.5–2
9Konnor Griffin homers (1) on a line drive to right field.3–2
4Luis Vázquez doubles (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Nick Gordon scores.2–2
4Nick Solak homers (1) on a line drive to left field.2–1
4Oneil Cruz homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
1Ryan Mountcastle grounds into a force out, pitcher Paul Skenes to second baseman Nick Solak. Adley Rutschman scores. Ryan O'Hearn out at 2nd. Ryan Mountcastle to 1st. Throwing error by second baseman Nick Solak.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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