Pirates at Orioles
Last play · Franklin Barreto grounds into a double play, third baseman Alika Williams to second baseman Liover Peguero to first baseman Darick Hall. Vimael Machín out at 2nd. Franklin Barreto out at 1st.
Win probability
Orioles0%
PIT 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 5 – 5 BAL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 54.7% · hold 5.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -130
Orioles favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan O'Hearn singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Gary Sánchez scores. Ramón Urías scores. Cedric Mullins to 3rd. (inning 4) — +27% Orioles
9Jason Delay singles on a fly ball to first baseman Terrin Vavra. Tsung-Che Cheng scores. Billy Cook scores. Matt Gorski scores.9–5
8Liover Peguero homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.6–5
5Nick Yorke out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Matt Gorski scores. Throwing error by center fielder Cedric Mullins.5–5
4Colton Cowser singles on a ground ball to shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa, deflected by pitcher Derek Diamond. Ryan O'Hearn to 3rd.4–5
4Ryan O'Hearn singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Gary Sánchez scores. Ramón Urías scores. Cedric Mullins to 3rd.4–4
4Luis Vázquez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tommy Pham. Ryan Mountcastle scores.4–2
4Tommy Pham walks. Enmanuel Valdez scores. Passed ball by catcher Gary Sánchez.4–1
3Endy Rodríguez singles on a line drive to right fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Bryan Reynolds scores. Andrew McCutchen to 3rd. Endy Rodríguez to 2nd.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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