Twins at Tigers
Last play · Tomás Nido grounds out, third baseman Jake Rucker to first baseman Rubel Cespedes.
Win probability
Tigers0%
MIN 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 0 DET
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -165
Tigers favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Allan Cerda homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Will Holland scores. (inning 8) — -21% Twins
8Rubel Cespedes homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.4–0
8Allan Cerda homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Will Holland scores.3–0
3DaShawn Keirsey Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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