Phillies at Tigers
Last play · Otto Kemp strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers100%
PHI 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 12 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 10.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -140
Tigers favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jahmai Jones hits a grand slam (2) to left center field. Kerry Carpenter scores. Justyn-Henry Malloy scores. Jake Rogers scores. (inning 2) — +31% Tigers
9Johan Rojas homers (2) on a line drive to left field. Robert Moore scores. Ethan Wilson scores.7–17
8Tomás Nido homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Hao-Yu Lee scores.4–17
7Christian Arroyo homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.4–15
6Tomás Nido homers (1) on a line drive to center field. Thayron Liranzo scores.3–15
6Thayron Liranzo triples (1) on a ground ball to right fielder Gabriel Rincones Jr. Jace Jung scores.3–13
6Buddy Kennedy homers (2) on a line drive to left center field. Kody Clemens scores.3–12
6Rafael Marchán grounds out, shortstop Ryan Kreidler to first baseman David Hensley. Edmundo Sosa scores. Kody Clemens to 2nd.1–12
3Javier Báez doubles (2) on a ground ball to left fielder Edmundo Sosa. Andy Ibáñez scores. Gleyber Torres scores. Riley Greene to 3rd.0–12
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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