Phillies at Tigers
Last play · Óscar Mercado flies out to left fielder Jahmai Jones.
Win probability
Tigers100%
PHI 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 1 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 46.3% · hold 5.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -165
Tigers favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrew Navigato doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Gabriel Rincones Jr. (inning 8) — +12% Tigers
3Gleyber Torres singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Cal Stevenson. Zach McKinstry scores. Ryan Kreidler to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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