Royals at Brewers
Last play · Brett Squires pops out to shortstop Daniel Guilarte.
Win probability
Brewers100%
KC 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 4 – 5 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -140
Brewers favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jorge Alfaro homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Rhys Hoskins scores. Joey Ortiz scores. (inning 3) — +22% Brewers
9Daniel Vazquez grounds out to first baseman Ernesto Martinez Jr. Jack Pineda scores. Austin Charles to 3rd.5–12
8Ramón Rodríguez singles on a line drive to center fielder Carson Roccaforte. Josh Adamczewski scores. Ernesto Martinez Jr. scores. Zavier Warren to 3rd.4–12
6Zavier Warren homers (1) on a line drive to right center field. Ernesto Martinez Jr. scores.4–10
6Ernesto Martinez Jr. doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Diego Hernandez. Brewer Hicklen scores.4–8
6Josh Adamczewski homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Yophery Rodriguez scores.4–7
4Bobby Witt Jr. homers (1) on a line drive to center field.4–5
4Jonathan India out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Garrett Mitchell. John Rave scores.3–5
4John Rave walks.2–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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