Cardinals at Marlins
Last play · Michael Helman strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Marlins100%
STL 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 0 MIA
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.3% · hold 5.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-160 / +130
Marlins favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jack Winkler doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Matt Koperniak. Rob Brantly scores. Troy Johnston out at home on the throw, left fielder Matt Koperniak to shortstop Jose Barrero to catcher Chance Sisco. (inning 8) — +32% Marlins
8Joe Mack singles on a ground ball to second baseman Michael Helman. Jack Winkler scores.6–7
8Jack Winkler doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Matt Koperniak. Rob Brantly scores. Troy Johnston out at home on the throw, left fielder Matt Koperniak to shortstop Jose Barrero to catcher Chance Sisco.6–6
7Jacob Berry grounds out, shortstop Jose Barrero to first baseman R. J. Yeager. Heriberto Hernandez scores.6–5
7Heriberto Hernandez doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Matt Koperniak. Jack Winkler scores. Colby Shade scores. Joe Mack scores.6–4
7Colby Shade singles on a ground ball to center fielder Nathan Church. Troy Johnston scores. Jack Winkler to 2nd.6–1
6Jose Barrero singles on a fly ball to center fielder Colby Shade. Chase Davis scores. Bryan Torres scores. Nathan Church to 3rd.6–0
6Nathan Church walks. Matt Koperniak scores. Chase Davis to 3rd. Bryan Torres to 2nd.4–0
6Bryan Torres walks. R.J. Yeager scores. Matt Koperniak to 3rd. Chase Davis to 2nd.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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