Astros at Cardinals
Last play · Bryan Torres grounds out softly, pitcher Cesar Gomez to first baseman Luis Castro.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
HOU 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 4 – 5 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -140
Cardinals favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · JJ Wetherholt homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Chase Davis scores. Thomas Saggese scores. (inning 5) — +45% Cardinals
9R.J. Yeager homers (1) on a line drive to left center field.11–6
6Tommy Sacco Jr. singles on a fly ball to left fielder Bryan Torres. Miguel Palma scores. Zach Dezenzo scores. Pascanel Ferreras to 2nd.11–5
6Pascanel Ferreras reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman R. J. Yeager. Jesús Bastidas scores. Miguel Palma to 3rd. Zach Dezenzo to 2nd. Throwing error by first baseman R. J. Yeager.9–5
6Zach Dezenzo singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Nathan Church. Joseph Sullivan scores. Jesús Bastidas to 3rd. Miguel Palma to 2nd.8–5
6Miguel Palma walks. Luis Castro scores. Joseph Sullivan to 3rd. Jesús Bastidas to 2nd.7–5
6Tommy Sacco Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Quincy Hamilton scores.6–5
5JJ Wetherholt homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Chase Davis scores. Thomas Saggese scores.4–5
5Shay Whitcomb singles on a line drive to left fielder Matt Koperniak. Yainer Diaz scores. Zach Dezenzo to 2nd.4–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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