Mets at Marlins
Last play · Willy Fanas lines out to center fielder Mark Coley II.
Win probability
Marlins100%
NYM 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 0 – 1 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-140 / +115
Marlins favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mark Coley II homers (1) on a line drive to left field. Troy Johnston scores. (inning 7) — +31% Marlins
7Agustin Ramirez singles on a line drive to left fielder Simon Juan. Jared Serna scores. Ronny Simon to 2nd.1–4
7Mark Coley II homers (1) on a line drive to left field. Troy Johnston scores.1–3
6Pete Alonso doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Mark Coley II. Chris Williams scores.1–1
3Max Acosta homers (1) on a line drive to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
Sign in to join the chat.


















































