Marlins at Cardinals
Last play · Deyvison De Los Santos strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
MIA 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 4 – 6 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -135
Cardinals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nolan Arenado homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Lars Nootbaar scores. Willson Contreras scores. (inning 1) — +15% Cardinals
7Jeremy Rivas singles on a line drive to left fielder Kemp Alderman. Chase Davis scores. Nathan Church scores. Jeremy Rivas to 2nd.4–8
5Pedro Pagés doubles (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Andrew Pintar. Chase Davis scores.4–6
2Willson Contreras singles on a fly ball to right fielder Derek Hill. Victor Scott II scores.4–5
2Matt Mervis singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ryan Vilade. Andrew Pintar scores. Xavier Edwards to 3rd.4–4
2Xavier Edwards singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Nolan Gorman. Agustín Ramírez scores. Andrew Pintar to 2nd.3–4
2Andrew Pintar singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ryan Vilade. Otto Lopez scores. Nick Fortes scores. Agustín Ramírez to 3rd.2–4
1Nolan Arenado homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Lars Nootbaar scores. Willson Contreras scores.0–4
1Lars Nootbaar singles on a ground ball to right fielder Derek Hill. Victor Scott II scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
Sign in to join the chat.


















































