Braves at Marlins
ATL7–
MIA2Last play · Jack Winkler strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Marlins0%
ATL 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 2 – 0 MIA
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -150
Marlins favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Drake Baldwin singles on a ground ball to left fielder Dane Myers. Kevin Kilpatrick Jr. scores. Nick Allen to 3rd. Luke Williams to 2nd. (inning 3) — -14% Braves
9Nathan Martorella doubles (1) on a fly ball to left fielder Stephen Paolini. Rob Brantly scores. Heriberto Hernández to 3rd.7–2
8Jack Winkler homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.7–1
8Will Verdung singles on a line drive to right fielder Troy Johnston. Cal Conley scores. Keshawn Ogans to 3rd.7–0
8Keshawn Ogans singles on a ground ball to right fielder Troy Johnston. Drake Baldwin scores. Cal Conley to 2nd.6–0
8Cal Conley singles on a line drive to center fielder Albert Almora Jr. Stephen Paolini scores. Drake Baldwin to 3rd.5–0
6Drake Baldwin singles on a ground ball to shortstop Maximo Acosta. Nick Allen scores. Sean Murphy to 2nd.4–0
6Nick Allen doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Dane Myers. David McCabe scores. Kevin Kilpatrick Jr. out at home on the throw, left fielder Dane Myers to shortstop Maximo Acosta to catcher Rob Brantly.3–0
3Christian Cairo walks. Nick Allen scores. Luke Williams to 3rd. Drake Baldwin to 2nd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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