Astros at Cardinals
Last play · Collin Price flies out to center fielder Bryan Torres.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
HOU 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 2 – 3 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.6% · hold 5.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -125
Cardinals favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Iván Herrera homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Alec Burleson scores. (inning 3) — +25% Cardinals
7Leo Bernal homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.4–6
7Collin Price reaches on a throwing error by shortstop Jeremy Rivas. Shay Whitcomb scores.4–5
6Victor Scott II walks. Brayden Jobert scores. José Fermín to 3rd. Jeremy Rivas to 2nd.3–5
6José Fermín singles on a line drive to right fielder Zach Dezenzo. R.J. Yeager scores. Brayden Jobert to 3rd.3–4
6Jeremy Peña singles on a fly ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Jesús Bastidas scores. Joseph Sullivan to 2nd.3–3
3Iván Herrera homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Alec Burleson scores.2–3
2Jose Altuve flies into a sacrifice double play, center fielder Victor Scott II to second baseman José Fermín to first baseman Alec Burleson. Jake Meyers scores. Joe Hudson out at 1st.2–1
2Joe Hudson singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Victor Caratini scores. Jake Meyers to 3rd.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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