Nationals at Marlins
Last play · Heriberto Hernandez pops out to second baseman Cayden Wallace.
Win probability
Marlins0%
WSH 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 3 – 5 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
13.5
opened 14.5 ↓
fair over 52.6% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -130
Marlins favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrew Pinckney strikes out swinging. (inning 8) — -26% Nationals
8Andrew Pinckney strikes out swinging.8–7
8Daylen Lile doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Albert Almora Jr. Drew Millas scores.7–7
8Cayden Wallace homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Nasim Nuñez scores.6–7
6Javier Sanoja singles on a line drive to right fielder Andrew Pinckney. Graham Pauley scores. Eric Wagaman to 2nd.4–7
6Eric Wagaman singles on a ground ball to second baseman Cayden Wallace. Otto Lopez scores. Graham Pauley to 3rd.4–6
6Andrés Chaparro singles on a ground ball to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Nasim Nuñez scores.4–5
5Andrew Pinckney homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.3–5
4Luis García Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.2–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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