Yankees at Cardinals
Last play · George Lombard Jr. strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
NYY 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 5 – 3 STL
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 11.5
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -220
Cardinals favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · César Prieto homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 8) — +29% Cardinals
8César Prieto homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.5–6
7Matt Koperniak homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.5–5
6José Fermín out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Spencer Jones. César Prieto scores.5–4
5Anthony Volpe homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.5–3
4Nolan Gorman homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Iván Herrera scores.4–3
3J.C. Escarra homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Jasson Domínguez scores.4–1
3Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Anthony Volpe scores.2–1
2Alec Burleson homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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