Mets at Marlins
Last play · Gage Miller grounds out, shortstop Luis De Los Santos to first baseman Nick Lorusso.
Win probability
Marlins0%
NYM 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 3 – 0 MIA
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 52.6% · hold 5.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Marlins favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Meneses homers (1) on a line drive to left field. (inning 5) — -16% Mets
9Matt Mervis doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Jefrey De Los Santos. Shane Sasaki scores.7–3
9José Azócar walks. Onix Vega scores. Diego Mosquera to 3rd. Luis De Los Santos to 2nd.7–2
7Graham Pauley singles on a line drive to left fielder Jefrey De Los Santos. Matt Mervis scores.6–2
7Bennett Hostetler out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Simon Juan. Griffin Conine scores.6–1
6Jared Young singles on a line drive to center fielder Dane Myers. Brett Baty scores. Nick Lorusso to 2nd.6–0
6Brett Baty doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Dane Myers. Jefrey De Los Santos scores. Simon Juan scores.5–0
5Joey Meneses homers (1) on a line drive to left field.3–0
1Jose Siri out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Dane Myers. Juan Soto scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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