Marlins at Cardinals
Last play · César Prieto pops out to third baseman Josh Zamora.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
MIA 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 7 – 4 STL
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 46.3% · hold 5.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -140
Cardinals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Griffin Conine homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Jonah Bride scores. (inning 2) — -24% Marlins
8Michael Helman out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. César Prieto scores.12–5
8Jake DeLeo out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Darlin Moquete. Joe Mack scores. Heriberto Hernández to 3rd.12–4
7Cody Schrier grounds out, third baseman César Prieto to first baseman R.J. Yeager. Josh Zamora scores. Griffin Conine to 2nd.11–4
7Griffin Conine singles on a ground ball to right fielder Matt Koperniak. Dalvy Rosario scores. Josh Zamora to 3rd.10–4
6Matt Mervis homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.9–4
6Otto Lopez homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.8–4
5Iván Herrera doubles (4) on a line drive to center fielder Dane Myers. Lars Nootbaar scores.7–4
5Jonah Bride out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Matt Koperniak. Jesús Sánchez scores.7–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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