Astros at Yankees
Last play · Nehomar Ochoa Jr. flies out to left fielder Cole Gabrielson.
Win probability
Yankees100%
HOU 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 4 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 11.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -160
Yankees favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge singles on a ground ball to left fielder Chas McCormick. Duke Ellis scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. (inning 3) — +23% Yankees
9Chase Jaworsky walks.3–9
7Cole Gabrielson hits a grand slam (1) to left field. T.J. Rumfield scores. Jesus Rodriguez scores. Alexander Vargas scores.2–9
7Jesus Rodriguez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Joseph Sullivan. Omar Martinez scores. T.J. Rumfield to 2nd.2–5
7Luis Castro grounds out, shortstop Andrew Velazquez to first baseman T. J. Rumfield. Quincy Hamilton scores.2–4
4Ben Rice homers (1) on a line drive to right field.1–4
3Aaron Judge singles on a ground ball to left fielder Chas McCormick. Duke Ellis scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.1–3
3George Lombard Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
3Jeremy Peña singles on a line drive to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Luis Castro scores. César Salazar to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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