Pirates at Yankees
Last play · Omar Alfonzo strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees100%
PIT 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 3 – 8 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -160
Yankees favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Anthony Volpe singles on a ground ball to left fielder Nick Solak. Jackson Castillo scores. Cole Gabrielson scores. (inning 5) — +33% Yankees
8George Lombard Jr. homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Jackson Castillo scores.3–12
8Andrew Velazquez homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.3–10
7J.C. Escarra singles on a ground ball to right fielder Matt Gorski. Brendan Jones scores.3–9
5Dominic Smith singles on a pop up to third baseman Enmanuel Valdez. Anthony Volpe scores. Brendan Jones scores. Ben Rice to 3rd.3–8
5Anthony Volpe singles on a ground ball to left fielder Nick Solak. Jackson Castillo scores. Cole Gabrielson scores.3–6
3Joey Bart homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Tommy Pham scores. Nick Yorke scores.3–3
2Jazz Chisholm Jr. grounds out, pitcher Bailey Falter to first baseman DJ Stewart.0–3
2Dominic Smith singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Anthony Volpe scores. Ben Rice scores. Alex Jackson to 3rd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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