Rays at Pirates
Last play · Tristan Peters grounds out to first baseman Darick Hall.
Win probability
Pirates100%
TB 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 3 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -125
Pirates favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tres Barrera singles on a line drive to left fielder Jihwan Bae. Curtis Mead scores. Jonny DeLuca scores. (inning 6) — -22% Rays
6Tres Barrera singles on a line drive to left fielder Jihwan Bae. Curtis Mead scores. Jonny DeLuca scores.2–3
5Endy Rodríguez reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Bryan Reynolds scores. Aaron McKeithan to 2nd. Throwing error by third baseman Curtis Mead, assist to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.0–3
5Andrew McCutchen walks.0–2
2Isiah Kiner-Falefa doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Nick Gonzales scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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