Blue Jays at Pirates
Last play · Davis Schneider grounds into a double play, third baseman Alika Williams to second baseman Enmanuel Valdez to first baseman Malcom Nuñez. Addison Barger out at 2nd. Davis Schneider out at 1st.
Win probability
Pirates100%
TOR 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 5 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
12.5
opened 10.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -130
Pirates favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Oneil Cruz homers (2) on a line drive to right center field. Nick Yorke scores. Tommy Pham scores. (inning 5) — +33% Pirates
8Alan Roden homers (1) on a line drive to right center field.6–7
8Arjun Nimmala homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Davis Schneider scores.5–7
7Damiano Palmegiani doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Bryce Johnson. Nathan Lukes scores. Michael Stefanic to 3rd.3–7
6Nick Solak out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Davis Schneider. Henry Davis scores.2–7
6Bryce Johnson singles on a line drive to center fielder Jonatan Clase. Joshua Palacios scores. Henry Davis to 3rd.2–6
6Anthony Santander homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.2–5
5Joey Bart homers (2) on a line drive to center field.1–5
5Oneil Cruz homers (2) on a line drive to right center field. Nick Yorke scores. Tommy Pham scores.1–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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