Orioles at Pirates
Last play · Darick Hall grounds out, second baseman Vimael Machín to first baseman Coby Mayo.
Win probability
Pirates0%
BAL 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 6 – 2 PIT
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 11.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -155
Pirates favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Samuel Basallo homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Coby Mayo scores. Vimael Machín scores. (inning 5) — -29% Orioles
7Abrahan Gutierrez doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Douglas Hodo III. Jason Delay scores.6–3
5Samuel Basallo homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Coby Mayo scores. Vimael Machín scores.6–2
3Bryan Reynolds singles on a line drive to center fielder Dylan Carlson. Jack Suwinski scores.3–2
3Jack Suwinski doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Heston Kjerstad. Jared Triolo scores.3–1
2Jordan Westburg singles on a line drive to left fielder Jack Suwinski. Daz Cameron scores. Dylan Carlson to 3rd.3–0
2Daz Cameron singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Heston Kjerstad scores. Ramón Urías scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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