Cubs at Padres
Last play · Francisco Acuna strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Padres0%
CHC 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 2 – 2 SD
Tied through 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 12.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -180
Padres favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Eguy Rosario homers (1) on a line drive to right center field. Oscar Gonzalez scores. (inning 4) — +27% Padres
9Parker Chavers triples (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Forrest Wall. Carlos Pérez scores. BJ Murray Jr. scores.10–5
8Tirso Ornelas homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.8–5
7Trenton Brooks out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Christian Olivo. Niko Goodrum scores. Forrest Wall to 3rd.8–4
7Forrest Wall doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Christian Olivo. Kai Murphy scores. Niko Goodrum to 3rd.8–3
7Parker Chavers doubles (1) on a line drive to center fielder Forrest Wall. BJ Murray Jr. scores.8–2
6Michael Busch homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Kevin Alcántara scores. Benjamin Cowles scores.7–2
6James Triantos grounds out, third baseman Mike Brosseau to first baseman Trenton Brooks. Greg Allen scores.4–2
6Kevin Alcántara doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Tirso Ornelas. Travis Jankowski scores. Greg Allen to 3rd.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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