Mariners at Padres
Last play · Clay Dungan grounds out, second baseman Josh Hood to first baseman Hogan Windish.
Win probability
Padres0%
SEA 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 1 – 1 SD
Tied through 5
Padres favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cole Young doubles (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Forrest Wall. Spencer Packard scores. (inning 7) — -19% Mariners
7Cole Young doubles (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Forrest Wall. Spencer Packard scores.2–1
3Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to center fielder Samad Taylor. Eguy Rosario scores.1–1
2Samad Taylor singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Nick Raposo scores. Colt Emerson to 3rd. Samad Taylor to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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