Rockies at Padres
Last play · Mike Brosseau lines out sharply to shortstop Aaron Schunk.
Win probability
Padres0%
COL 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 0 – 0 SD
Tied through 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 9.5 ↑
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -150
Padres favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Adael Amador singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brandon Lockridge. Zac Veen scores. Kyle Karros scores. (inning 8) — -21% Rockies
9Luis Campusano grounds out, third baseman Kyle Karros to first baseman Austin Nola. Trenton Brooks scores.4–3
8Adael Amador singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brandon Lockridge. Zac Veen scores. Kyle Karros scores.4–1
7Yonathan Perlaza reaches on a throwing error by shortstop Aaron Schunk. Trenton Brooks scores.2–1
6Thairo Estrada out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Tirso Ornelas. Owen Miller scores.2–0
6Owen Miller doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Yonathan Perlaza. Ryan McMahon scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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