Royals at Padres
Last play · Mike Brosseau grounds into a double play, shortstop Daniel Vazquez to first baseman Jac Caglianone. Leo De Vries out at 2nd. Mike Brosseau out at 1st.
Win probability
Padres0%
KC 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 10 – 3 SD
Royals led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 12.5 ↓
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -160
Padres favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jackson Merrill homers (1) on a line drive to center field. Luis Arraez scores. (inning 1) — +22% Padres
6Trenton Brooks singles on a line drive to left fielder Tyler Gentry. Brandon Lockridge scores.10–4
3Xander Bogaerts singles on a ground ball to first baseman Cavan Biggio. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Jackson Merrill to 3rd.10–3
3Freddy Fermin singles on a line drive to left fielder Jason Heyward. John Rave scores. Tyler Tolbert scores. Michael Massey to 2nd.10–2
3Michael Massey walks. Cam Devanney scores. John Rave to 3rd. Tyler Tolbert to 2nd.8–2
3Tyler Tolbert walks. Cavan Biggio scores. Cam Devanney to 3rd. John Rave to 2nd.7–2
2Harold Castro homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Freddy Fermin scores.6–2
2Freddy Fermin singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Maikel Garcia scores.4–2
2Maikel Garcia reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Tyler Wade. John Rave scores. Maikel Garcia to 2nd.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
Sign in to join the chat.


















































