Reds at Padres
Last play · Jose Iglesias grounds out, second baseman Cooper Bowman to first baseman Edwin Rios.
Win probability
Padres0%
CIN 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 3 – 2 SD
Reds led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 11.5
fair over 46.3% · hold 5.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -155
Padres favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · TJ Friedl singles on a line drive to left fielder Jason Heyward. Jake Fraley scores. Santiago Espinal scores. (inning 6) — -24% Reds
8Blake Dunn singles on a line drive to second baseman Niko Goodrum. Cooper Bowman scores. Sammy Stafura scores. Blake Dunn to 2nd. Throwing error by shortstop Jose Iglesias.9–3
7Jose Iglesias grounds out, shortstop Sammy Stafura to first baseman Edwin Rios. Niko Goodrum scores.7–3
7Ricky Cabrera singles on a line drive to center fielder Brandon Lockridge. Sammy Stafura scores. Will Benson scores. Stuart Fairchild to 3rd.7–2
6TJ Friedl singles on a line drive to left fielder Jason Heyward. Jake Fraley scores. Santiago Espinal scores.5–2
5Gavin Sheets homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.3–2
4Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.3–1
1Jeimer Candelario homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Elly De La Cruz scores.3–0
1Elly De La Cruz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. TJ Friedl scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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