Guardians at Padres
Last play · Cooper Ingle grounds out, shortstop Jose Iglesias to first baseman Connor Joe.
Win probability
Padres100%
CLE 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 6 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 52.6% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -175
Padres favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Xander Bogaerts singles on a ground ball to right fielder Johnathan Rodríguez. Luis Arraez scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Jake Cronenworth to 3rd. (inning 1) — +17% Padres
8Tyler Wade pops out to second baseman Kyle Dernedde.2–7
3Johnathan Rodríguez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jason Heyward. Brayan Rocchio scores.2–6
3Kyle Manzardo singles on a ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Kody Huff scores. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd. Tyler Freeman to 2nd.1–6
1Gavin Sheets homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Xander Bogaerts scores. Jason Heyward scores.0–6
1Jason Heyward singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Johnathan Rodríguez. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd.0–3
1Xander Bogaerts singles on a ground ball to right fielder Johnathan Rodríguez. Luis Arraez scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Jake Cronenworth to 3rd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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