White Sox at Padres
Last play · Gavin Sheets homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Kai Murphy scores.
Win probability
Padres100%
CWS 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 4 – 5 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+175 / -225
Padres favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gavin Sheets homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Kai Murphy scores. (inning 9) — +24% Padres
9Gavin Sheets homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Kai Murphy scores.5–7
7Bryan Ramos singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Gavin Sheets. Corey Julks scores. Bryan Ramos out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Gavin Sheets to second baseman Eguy Rosario.5–5
5Gavin Sheets homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.4–5
3Yuli Gurriel singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Brooks Baldwin. Jake Cronenworth scores.4–4
3Jackson Merrill homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.4–3
2Luis Arraez singles on a ground ball to shortstop William Bergolla Jr. Jason Heyward scores. Luis Arraez to 2nd. Luis Arraez advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by shortstop William Bergolla Jr.4–2
2Jason Heyward singles on a soft line drive to center fielder Brooks Baldwin. Xander Bogaerts scores. Jason Heyward to 2nd.4–1
2Cal Mitchell singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. William Bergolla Jr. scores.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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