Red Sox at Rays
Last play · Tres Barrera strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays0%
BOS 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 4 – 1 TB
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.3% · hold 5.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -150
Rays favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyler Miller homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Tyler McDonough scores. (inning 9) — -41% Red Sox
9Tyler Miller homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Tyler McDonough scores.6–4
7Tres Barrera singles on a line drive to left fielder Tyler McDonough. Tristan Peters scores. Willy Vasquez scores.4–4
7Willy Vasquez doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Nate Eaton. Chandler Simpson scores. Tristan Peters to 3rd.4–2
4Trayce Thompson homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Abraham Toro scores.4–1
3Ceddanne Rafaela homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
2Danny Jansen homers (1) on a line drive to left center field.1–1
1Marcelo Mayer singles on a soft fly ball to left fielder Richie Palacios. David Hamilton scores. Roman Anthony to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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