Braves at Rays
Last play · Ricardo Genovés singles on a line drive to left fielder Geraldo Quintero. Brayden Taylor scores.
Win probability
Rays100%
ATL 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 1 – 3 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -130
Rays favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cody Milligan reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Ricardo Genovés. Carlos Rodríguez scores. Ethan Workinger scores. (inning 9) — -44% Braves
9Ricardo Genovés singles on a line drive to left fielder Geraldo Quintero. Brayden Taylor scores.4–5
9Cody Milligan reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Ricardo Genovés. Carlos Rodríguez scores. Ethan Workinger scores.4–4
8Aidan Smith singles on a line drive to right fielder Cody Milligan. Tristan Peters scores. Kameron Misner to 2nd.2–4
8Matthew Batten singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Brayden Taylor. Christian Cairo scores.2–3
4Danny Jansen singles on a line drive to left fielder Jake Marisnick. Richie Palacios scores.1–3
3Jonathan Aranda grounds out, second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Garrett Cooper. Brandon Lowe scores. Curtis Mead to 2nd.1–2
3Jake Marisnick homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
1Jonathan Aranda singles on a fly ball to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Brandon Lowe scores. Curtis Mead to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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