Mets at Rays
Last play · Ben Rortvedt strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays0%
NYM 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 10 – 0 TB
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.7% · hold 5.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -180
Rays favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Siri homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Francisco Alvarez scores. Jesse Winker scores. (inning 3) — -35% Mets
7Kameron Misner homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.10–1
5Donovan Walton doubles (1) on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. José Azócar scores.10–0
5José Azócar singles on a ground ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Chris Williams scores. Jett Williams scores. Ryan Clifford to 3rd.8–0
5Jared Young walks. Brett Baty scores. Chris Williams to 3rd. Jett Williams to 2nd.6–0
5Jett Williams walks. Luke Ritter scores. Brett Baty to 3rd. Chris Williams to 2nd.5–0
5Alexander Canario walks. Jeff McNeil scores. Luke Ritter to 3rd. Brett Baty to 2nd.4–0
3Jose Siri homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Francisco Alvarez scores. Jesse Winker scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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