Yankees at Blue Jays
Last play · Jackson Castillo strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
NYY 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 0 – 4 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -180
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Steward Berroa doubles (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Coby Morales. Riley Tirotta scores. (inning 8) — +29% Blue Jays
8RJ Schreck grounds out to first baseman Tyler Hardman.4–6
8Steward Berroa doubles (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Coby Morales. Riley Tirotta scores.4–5
8Alexander Vargas homers (1) on a line drive to right center field.4–4
6Ismael Munguia triples (1) on a ground ball to right fielder Alan Roden. George Lombard Jr. scores.3–4
6Spencer Jones homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Everson Pereira scores.2–4
4Orelvis Martinez homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.0–4
3Alejandro Kirk singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Ismael Munguia. Bo Bichette scores.0–3
2Nathan Lukes walks. Ernie Clement scores. Wild pitch by pitcher Carlos Rodón.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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