Phillies at Blue Jays
Last play · Jacob Sharp strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
PHI 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 2 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -125
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Schwarber singles on a ground ball to center fielder RJ Schreck. Óscar Mercado scores. Trea Turner to 3rd. (inning 6) — -17% Phillies
9Michael Stefanic out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Justin Crawford. Will Robertson scores. Eddie Micheletti Jr. to 3rd. Victor Arias to 2nd.9–6
9Eddie Micheletti Jr. singles on a ground ball to left fielder Kody Clemens. Charles McAdoo scores. Rainer Nunez scores. Will Robertson to 2nd.9–5
9Rainer Nunez doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Matt Kroon. RJ Schreck scores. Charles McAdoo to 3rd.9–3
8Kody Clemens doubles (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Will Robertson. Justin Crawford scores. Otto Kemp scores.9–2
7Christian Arroyo singles on a fly ball to first baseman Rainer Nunez. Carson Taylor scores. Matt Kroon out at home, first baseman Rainer Nunez to catcher Ali Sánchez.7–2
6Gabriel Rincones Jr. grounds into a force out, pitcher Richard Lovelady to catcher Ali Sánchez. Bryson Stott out at home. Rafael Lantigua scores. Max Kepler to 2nd. Gabriel Rincones Jr. to 1st. Missed catch error by first baseman Rainer Nunez.6–2
6Max Kepler reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by pitcher Richard Lovelady. Matt Kroon scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd. Rafael Lantigua to 2nd. Throwing error by pitcher Richard Lovelady.5–2
6J.T. Realmuto singles on a line drive to left fielder Victor Arias. Carson Taylor scores. Matt Kroon to 3rd. Bryson Stott to 2nd.4–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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