Cardinals at Blue Jays
Last play · Bryan Torres caught stealing 2nd base, catcher Tyler Heineman to second baseman Michael Stefanic.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
STL 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 2 – 2 TOR
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -200
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Stefanic singles on a line drive to center fielder Jose Barrero. Alan Roden scores. Orelvis Martinez to 3rd. (inning 6) — +19% Blue Jays
6Michael Stefanic singles on a line drive to center fielder Jose Barrero. Alan Roden scores. Orelvis Martinez to 3rd.2–3
4Andrés Giménez singles on a ground ball to third baseman Thomas Saggese. Davis Schneider scores.2–2
3Alejandro Kirk singles on a ground ball to center fielder Lars Nootbaar. Andrés Giménez scores. Ali Sánchez to 2nd.2–1
3Victor Scott II homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.2–0
1Alec Burleson out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Victor Scott II scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
Sign in to join the chat.


















































