Astros at Blue Jays
Last play · Nehomar Ochoa Jr. strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
HOU 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 3 – 1 TOR
Astros led after 5
Total runs
12.5
opened 16.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+185 / -235
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ernie Clement doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Cooper Hummel. Christian Bethancourt scores. Alan Roden scores. (inning 6) — +34% Blue Jays
8Addison Barger homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Peyton Williams scores.3–8
7Christian Bethancourt out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake Meyers. Addison Barger scores.3–6
6Arjun Nimmala out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jacob Melton. Ernie Clement scores.3–5
6Ernie Clement doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Cooper Hummel. Christian Bethancourt scores. Alan Roden scores.3–4
6Will Wagner doubles (4) on a line drive to right fielder Jacob Melton. Michael Stefanic scores. Christian Bethancourt to 3rd.3–2
3Bo Bichette homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.3–1
3Jon Singleton out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Joey Loperfido. Cooper Hummel scores. Cam Smith to 3rd.3–0
3Victor Caratini out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder George Springer. César Salazar scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
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